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In contrast, countries with macro prudential instruments are better able to cope with the detrimental impacts of adverse commodity price shocks. The implementation of macroprudential policy does not matter when it comes to provisions to NPLs as commodity price slumps lower provisions to NPLs in countries with or without macro prudential policy. Adverse commodity price shocks tend to lead to financial problems in non diversified economies. The results also highlight that the detrimental effects of commodity price shocks are more common in countries with a low diversification of their export base. A lack of diversification may increase exposure to adverse external shocks and vulnerability to macroeconomic instability. While a diversified export base may allow countries to better handle declines in commodity related revenues with alternative sources. In terms of policy implications, the findings underscore the necessity of adopting policies to increase the resilience of resource rich countries. First, developing countries should promote sound economic policies and good governance that will ensure the effective use of natural resource windfalls and build fiscal buffers, including through sovereign wealth funds or similar arrangement. The presence of a sovereign wealth fund can effectively mitigate the impact of commodity price shocks and stabilize the economy. More generally, sound fiscal policy, characterized by low debt levels is an important buffer against exogenous shocks. Second, countries should implement macro prudential policies in order to limit or mitigate systemic risk.



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